There is evidence to support the use of Western developed violent risk assessment in China: Responding to Zhou et al. (2015)
The recent article published by Zhou and his colleagues (2015) concluded that there was little evidence to support the use in China of violent risk assessment instruments developed in Western countries. They made two claims: 1) the predictive validity estimates (AUCs) were noticeably lower in China than in Western countries, and 2) the values of predictive validity found in Chinese studies were poor. We believe that the evidence presented in the article does not support either of their claims. This post outlines our rationale for this belief.
One of the purposes of the nextgenforensic blog is to promote the dissemination of high quality scientific information to as wide an audience as possible, without paywalls. Part of this purpose is our impulse to social justice, but it is also pragmatic: If students and early career researchers want to impact the world in as meaningful a way as possible, we need to think broader in terms of what it means to have impact (that golden calf of the academy). This post focuses on an important and effective avenue for disseminating scientific information, that being: becoming a Wikipedia editor for its human sexuality and sexual violence pages.
“So could that explain how terrorists groom children for political violence too?”
That was the question (paraphrased, admittedly) that I posed to terrorism gurus John Horgan and Mia Bloom, with whom I shared a corridor at Penn State, during a brainstorming mini-summit back in 2012. They were shaping the ideas that would form Small Arms, their upcoming book on the recruitment of children for political violence. We had engaged in a number of conversations about the similarities between recruitment processes in violence and terrorism and the “grooming” processes described in the sex offense literature, and had come to preliminary conclusions that there was likely to be some universal process that underlies those preparatory processes in both. I had just briefed attendees to our small meeting on the existing models of “sexual grooming” and set forth my initial half-baked ideas that would eventually become a newly-published attempt at a holistic model.